Oleg Gordievsky, 1938-2025

Oleg Gordievsky
1938-2025

The second recent death of a notable man, as mentioned in my previous blog, was that of Oleg Gordievsky, and the peaceful nature of his passing probably surprised many, including Oleg. He had survived, or avoided, many actual or planned attempted murders on his life, in his role as double agent for Russia and Britain.

A younger Oleg

He came from a privileged background as the son of an officer in the NKVD [the Soviet secret police and forerunner of the KGB] and was an excellent student, learning German at school then studying at the Moscow State Institute of International Relations. During his NKVD training, as well as learning espionage skills, he also really mastered German and in addition learned to speak Danish, Swedish and Norwegian.  On completion of these studies, he joined the Russian foreign service and was posted to East Berlin in August 1961 just before the erection of the Berlin Wall, a development which appalled him and triggered the first stirring of his disillusionment with the Soviet system.

He joined the KGB in 1963 and was posted to the 

Operation Pimlico 

Oleg and his eventual
autobiography

 Russian embassy in Copenhagen in 1966 again becoming outraged at the 1968 Prague Spring when the USSR brutally crushed the uprising in Czechoslovakia. He began sending covert signals to Danish and British intelligence agencies of his willingness to co-operate with them and in 1974 he agreed to pass secrets to MI6. He was posted to Denmark around this time but was quickly returned to Russia after an affair and divorce, both frowned upon by the Russians as immoral. During his prolonged ‘home stay’ he learned English and lobbied for a post in London which eventually resulted in the KGB appointing him to London in June 1982. His advancement in rank there was facilitated by MI6 which passed him abundant, relatively low level information to pass back, and organised trumped-up charges against his superiors so that Gordievsky

Aldrich Ames, double agent  who sold
American secrets to Russia

was almost automatically promoted thereby gaining access to increasingly sensitive Soviet data. In April 1985 he was promoted to KGB station chief in London at the Soviet Embassy, but shortly after his promotion, he was suddenly summoned back to Moscow via a telegram on 16 May, 1985. MI6 allowed him to decide what to do; to return home to possible torture, interrogation or death if the KGB suspected his betrayal, or remain in Britain under a false name and UK Govt. protection. He chose the former although he did not know that he had indeed, been betrayed in May 1985 by CIA officer, Aldrich Ames. On his return to Russia, he was drugged, interrogated then placed in a non-existent job in the KGB and under increasing covert surveillance, suspected of having become a double agent. Despite the surveillance, Oleg managed

Russian Embassy in London

to send a covert signal to MI6 to activate ‘Operation Pimlico’ an escape plan in place for many years. He waited on a certain street corner, on a particular weekday at 7.00p.m. carrying a Safeway’s bag as a signal. An MI6 agent walked past, carrying a Harrods bag and eating a Mars bar, and the two made eye contact. This all signalled the immediate activation of the escape plan. On July 19, 1985, Gordievsky went for his usual morning run but managed to evade his KGB followers and boarded a train to Leningrad thence to Vyborg near the Finnish border. There he was met by British Embassy cars and smuggled in the boot of a car, into Finland from where he was flown to the U.K. via Norway. The Soviet authorities subsequently sentenced him to death in absentia, for treason. Meanwhile, his wife, Leila, daughter of a KGB officer, and unaware of her husband’s defection, was interrogated and detained by the Soviet authorities for six years, the Soviets wrongly presuming she was complicit in her husband’s activities. This put a final touch to the end of Gordievsky’s ailing marriage and to his Soviet espionage career.

Oleg Gordievsky and wife Leila [Leyla]
in happy retirement in Sussex.

The revelation of Gordievsky's spying for Britain and his betrayal of Russia greatly embarrassed the Soviet Union and the KGB, and led to the ending of several careers such as that of Sergei Ivanov, KGB chief in Finland; Victor Babunov, KGB chief of counter intelligence and numerous members of the Leningrad KGB who were responsible for the surveillance of British subjects like Gordievsky, and included several people close to Vladimir Putin, a member of the Leningrad KGB.

In April 2008, it was reported that on November 2 2007 Gordievsky had spent 34 hours unconscious after a poisoning attempt on his life. The poison was Thallium and he believed that the culprit was a UK Russian business associate who had supplied him with pills which he had believed was Xanax, for insomnia. At the time he accused MI6 of forcing Special Branch to drop its early investigations in an attempt to hide news of the poisoning which were only re-opened after the intervention of former MI5 Director, Elizabeth Manningham-Buller. His protection was increased however.

Ten years later, in 2018, Gordievsky's protection was further intensified in the light of the Salisbury Poisonings. Sergei and daughter Yulia, Skripval were the butt of a botched poisoning attempt using Novichok [the Russian poison of choice] in which a policeman was accidentally poisoned and also a woman who had used an abandoned perfume bottle found in the street! Sergei Skripval was a former GRU military spy who had presumably offended someone in Moscow. No one died during this episode but Gordievsky's minders considered it at least as a reminder of the potential danger in which he remained.

Queen Elizabeth conferring Companion
 of the Order of St Michael and St George
on Gordievsky in 2007

Gordievsky lived in London for several years finishing his remaining years in Godalming, Surrey. During his retirement, he wrote several books, edited articles in journals, worked in TV and received several honours. He was awarded an Honorary Degree of the Order of St. Michael and St George [CMG] for services to the security of the U.K. in the 2007 Queen's Birthday Honours List; an Honorary Degree of Doctor of Letters by the University of Buckingham in recognition of his outstanding service to the security and safety of the U.K. in 2005.

Mikhail Gorbachev
1931-2022

 Two of Gordievsky’s most important contributions in the Cold War were:

 a)  averting a potential nuclear confrontation with the Soviets when they misinterpreted a NATO exercise [Able Archer 83] as a potential first strike and 

 b)   identifying Mikhail Gorbachev as the Soviet heir apparent long before he came to prominence. 

In   Indeed, information obtained by Gordievsky was the first proof of how worried the Soviet leadership had become about a NATO nuclear first strike.

 

Everyone a Winner

 

Oleg Gordievsky with his
book on the K.G.B.

In the past ten days or so, two men have died, each of which, in different ways, had led extraordinary lives: George Foreman, former World Heavyweight Boxing Champion, and Oleg Gordievsky, spy and double agent for Russia and the U.K. The only connection between these two lives is the synchronicity of their deaths though one also might observe a similar tenacity and determination in each man.

George Foreman in his maturity

Although I have never been interested in the art of boxing one can observe how a career as a professional boxer has enabled many men to escape from early lives of poverty and deprivation to go on to fulfilment and perhaps riches eventually. There is a dreadful risk of injury, including brain injury, which exists, and which has adversely affected many such as Muhammad Ali, World Champion and confident wordsmith. His later Parkinson’s may well have been his destiny but sustaining constant serious punches to the head over many years must also have been an important contributing factor.

George Foreman at the 1968 Olympics celebrating winning
the Gold Medal. He was 19 and a boxer for almost four years.

George Foreman’s life did not proceed in a conventional way. He was Texan born in an impoverished, inner-city area and inevitably became a troubled child, dropping out of school at 15, joining friends in petty crime before seeking to become a carpenter and bricklayer. He was a big-muscled teenager and discovered boxing at 16 only after he joined the Job Corps, a U.S. government scheme to help young people learn a trade. He loved boxing and was a quick learner with natural boxing power, rising through the amateur ranks to win a stunning gold medal at the 1968 Olympics in Mexico City. He caught the eye of the American public on that occasion when he famously waved a small American flag in the ring, winning both the gold medal, the approval of many and the approbation of others!

Joe Frazier

He turned professional in 1969 at the age of 20 and quickly earned a reputation as a ‘killer’! He rose rapidly as a pro with a series of 37 brutal knockouts in the heavyweight division, leading inexorably to a title fight with the undefeated champ, Joe Frazier in 1973. Foreman was the underdog at the beginning, but he stunned the boxing world by knocking down the champion six times in two rounds before the referee stopped the fight. Much later in his more adult years, Foreman confessed that as a young boxer, all he aimed to do was to kill his opponent.

Rumble in The Jungle. 
Demonstrating Muhammad Ali's 'rope-a-dope'
 tactics for the first eight rounds.

Foreman defended his title only twice before facing Muhammad Ali in what became known as The Rumble in The Jungle in Kinshasa, Zaire [now the Democratic Republic of Congo.] Foreman’s reputation meant that he was widely expected to win, but he fell victim to Ali’s famous so-called ‘rope-a-dope strategy’ in which Ali stopped moving away around the ring, from Foreman’s onslaught, leaning against the ropes and absorbing his opponent’s early punches. Effectively this enabled Ali to wear out his opponent while retaining much of his own energy leading to an energetic return onslaught by Ali and the forced finish to the fight in the eighth round. It was a defining moment in boxing history; the brutal might of Foreman felled by the intelligence, resilience and psychological effectiveness of Ali. Defeat was devastating for Foreman causing him to doubt his own ability and skill. He fought only five more matches, including a second knock-out against

Muhammad Ali
Famous for his boxing and his poetry
'Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.'

Frazier before losing to Jimmy Young in 1977 when he claimed to have had a near-death religious experience in his dressing room afterwards which led him to quit boxing and become an ordained minister. However, he did later stage an extraordinary sporting comeback, returning a decade later and reclaiming the world title at the age of 45, the oldest heavyweight champion ever. His return to boxing was to fund the youth centre he had established.

World Champion, first
won at 19 and reclaimed
at 45.

His talents were not limited to boxing. He became a successful entrepreneur making much more money from his famous electric grill that he ever did from a highly successful boxing career. He admitted to earning $8million a month from his Lean Mean Fat-Reducing Grilling Machine, earning subsequently more than $200 million from the one endorsement. He also commented on boxing for many years for the American cable TV network HBO while also known for occasional acts of extraordinary generosity such as the cheque for $50,000 which he quietly handed to a woman who did a fairly low-paid job in Las Vegas and who fell on hard times. He also often funded scholarships to enable many young people to attend college. After the Rodney King debacle [King was beaten by policemen after they arrested him; the entire incident was captured on video though the police were subsequently acquitted leading to the 1992 riots in L.A.] most of the drug stores in downtown Los Angeles closed and Foreman wrote a cheque for $1m to keep prescription drugs for the poor elderly, flowing. Much of George's civic generosity was low key and unheralded, tending to be directed at people from humble backgrounds like his own. It was his version of 'giving back', of acknowledging his own good fortune in life.

George and his grill

In a multi-faceted career, Foreman achieved the heights, both in his boxing and in his entrepreneurial endeavours due not only to immense boxing skill but also to economic and commercial judgement and an extraordinary resilience developed after a difficult, deprived childhood. His resilience was, perhaps, the key to his impressive success in life. 

 

 

Lost Boys

 

Gareth Southgate

 My last blog on the Netflix drama, Adolescence, sensitised me to current social anxieties about the uncertain, perhaps harmful, psychological state of many teenage boys and very young men. Somehow, I had not truly noticed the increasing public disquiet about boys’ mental health which has coincided with publicity about the major new research project recently launched by the Centre for Social Justice entitled Lost Boys and its findings are disquieting. But the alert which sparked my present interest, came from a speech by a man I much admire, Gareth Southgate, former UK Football Team manager.

Gareth Southgate was credited with revitalising the England team and was knighted in the King’s New Year Honours in December 2024. He has just delivered the Richard Dimbleby Lecture, held most years since 1972 in memory of the distinguished broadcaster and he focussed on the importance of self belief and resilience for young men, citing three factors needed to build these characteristics: identity, connection and culture. He referred approvingly to the Centre for Social Justice report, just issued, which said that boys and young men aged 16-24, since the pandemic, were in crisis with a “staggering” 40% increase in those not in education, employment or training, compared to 7% for females.

Southgate left after missing important penalty in
Euro 96 against Germany
Right, as England manager in 2022

“Too many young men are isolated” he said. "Too many feel uncomfortable opening up to friends or family. Many don’t have mentors– teachers, coaches, bosses- who befriend them and understand how to push them to grow. And so, when they struggle, young men inevitably try to handle whatever situation they find themselves in, alone. They end up withdrawing, reluctant to talk or express their emotions.”  “They spend more time online, searching for direction and falling into unhealthy alternatives like gaming, gambling or pornography.” Southgate also added that boys do not get 
enough opportunities to fail and then learn from their mistakes.  “In my opinion, if we make life too easy for young boys now, we will inevitably make life harder for them when they grow up to be young men. Too many young men are at risk of fearing failure precisely because they’ve had so few opportunities to experience and overcome it. They fail to try rather than try and fail.” Reflecting on what he had learned from his career, Southgate explained, “If I’ve learned anything from my life in football, it’s that success is much more than the final score. True success is how you respond in the hardest moments.”

Centre for Social Justice advises to involve boys
at risk in sporting activities.

The Centre for Social Justice report shows not only a growing divergence in education and employment areas between boys and girls but also an increasing divide in the social and political attitudes of the sexes. Young men are increasingly drawn to conservative, traditional or right-wing views whilst girls become more liberal and progressive as they grow up and this developing incompatibility between the sexes is underpinned by widespread family breakdown. Furthermore, and more problematically, being poor and working class increases the likelihood of this bleak situation occurring. Boys are twice as likely to be expelled from school; 96% of prisoners are male; suicide is now the biggest killer of men [under 50]; young men often earn less and are more likely to be unemployed or economically inactive than girls. A lot of the concern regarding the impact of social media and technology has understandably been over girls suffering with increased rates of anxiety and self-harm. Yet boys investigating online, alone in their bedrooms, can lead them to embrace debilitating games addiction, exposure to often violent and extreme pornography and influencers like Andrew Tate with their relentless emphasis on toxic masculinity.

Ten years ago in 2014, this same Centre for Social Justice published Fractured Families which highlighted the alarming trend to fatherlessness in the U.K. Good parenting by fathers in childhood seems to have a disproportionate effect on the mental health of young men, yet teenagers sitting their GCSEs are more likely to own a smartphone than to live with their dad. A million children have no significant contact with their fathers while low-income fathers are half as likely to go to parenting and antenatal classes as higher income fathers: 71% v 31%. 72% of higher income fathers felt prepared for becoming a father for the first time compared to 61% of lower income fathers who felt similarly prepared. Indeed, 55% of low-income fathers said they were left to “pick it up for themselves” while only 29% of higher income dads felt the same. 46% of fathers with an income of under £20,000 said there were " not many good role models for being a dad." Economically poorer fathers found little useful information and support online with only 26% of those in the lowest income brackets involved in looking while 45% of higher income fathers regularly used the Internet for information and help. Again and again, boys' problems are further enhanced by class differences.

Strong and stable societies need strong and stable men in strong and stable families; boys are not born knowing how to harness their natural masculine tendencies for good; they need to be taught, trained, encouraged and inspired by positive examples around them, in their lives. The riots in the summer of 2024 were in large part a reaction to the sharp decline in value and status, perhaps subconsciously felt by working class British males. Large numbers of disenfranchised young men are a destructive force in society and on an individual basis, leave boys bewildered, not knowing how to be a good man.

 

Adolescence

Owen Cooper as Jamie.

Earlier this week, I read numerous tributes to the new Netflix limited series called Adolescence to say how special it was, both in the power of its message and the quality of its drama. The implied invitation was irresistible. I followed its four episodes over two evenings, entirely hooked but also impacted by the power of its presentation. It was overall, harrowing. I particularly admired as always, the acting capacity of lead, Stephen Graham, but was astonished by the amazing performance of the 14-year-old lead, Owen Cooper,who I discover, had never acted before. Unbelievable! His performance was so nuanced, so comprehensively true and empathetic that I seriously wondered if talented actors are born rather than trained or developed.

Stephen Graham as Jamie's father, Eddie.

 More astonishing information was to come. Each episode was filmed in entirely one shot, so no cuts or discussions or mini rehearsals between shots or location changes were possible. Actors had to perfect their lines and think through their entire emotional performances during rehearsals, in preparation for a one hour take per episode. I imagine that even for seasoned actors like Stephen Graham this is challenging but for a first-time young actor, hugely demanding.

Adolescence was co-created by Stephen Graham with Jack Thorne  and The Guardian described it as ‘the closest thing to TV perfection’ while Forbes Magazine called it "a technical masterpiece", in fact, the drama is earning widespread rave reviews for its technical achievements. In addition, the talented cast seems to have been chosen to perfection with performances by those playing Jamie’s mother, sister and the inspectors investigating the case,  plus the 

role of the child psychologist tasked with writing an independent assessment of Jamie’s character, all receiving wide acclaim. The drama closes with an emotional rendition of Aurora's 'Through The Eyes of A Child' sung by Emilia, which describes the loss of a 'childlike soul.' The haunting track is the only time that viewers hear the voice of Katie, the murdered schoolgirl.

However, gripping performances aside, the drama explores the incel subculture and what is called ‘the manosphere’ that dominates some online discussions, and which is a concept completely unknown to many older viewers. In this online subculture, incels are a community of men, mostly heterosexual, who define themselves as unattractive, who are therefore unable to find a romantic or sexual partner and who go on to blame women and girls as a result. Incredibly, this culture began to be delineated around ten 

Ashley Walters as D.C. Luke Bascombe

years ago after a misogynistic hate crime in the U.S. when a 22-year-old killed six people and injured 14 others after uploading a video on YouTube announcing his intention to punish women for their lack of interest in him. After this, the term 'involuntary celibate' came to prominence. This horrific incident inspired another mass killing in Toronto in 2018 in which 11 people were killed and 15 injured. This second perpetrator described himself as an incel to the police and this may have been the first public use of the term linked to mass murder. In 2017, Reddit banned a 41,000- strong incel group for violating its rules regarding violent content. Among the written comments during this exercise, one sad thought appeared: “A reminder that no female has ever looked at you and thought you were attractive.”  Another rather frightening addition said, “Women are horrible human beings in every aspect of life.” 

Eddie, the bewildered father, trying to get to the truth
and trying to understand
the unreal situation in which he finds himself.

Influencer Andrew Tate after his
release from  house arrest
 in Romania.

Through this incredibly poignant and honest drama the public is given a searing look at the manosphere encompassing the collection of online forums, websites and influencers who promote misogyny, toxic masculinity and the incel culture. An eye-opener for this viewer at least! I had heard the names of Andrew Tate and his brother, Tristan, but knew little beyond their publicly alleged misogyny, but I had not realised the huge impact of their opinions and culture on boys and young men who chiefly view this malevolent stream of hate alone in their bedrooms. Andrew Tate, a former professional kickboxer and a self-described misogynist, has amassed over 10 million followers on X and is celebrated widely in the manosphere. He was banned from Facebook, Instagram and TikTok in 2022 for his extreme misogynistic views. Earlier he had also been banned from Twitter for several adverse comments about women, including that they "bear some responsibility" for being assaulted. However, no surprise to learn that

Tristan Tate looking 
regrettably gorgeous with no need to
be an incel.

the new owner of Twitter, now renamed X, Elon Musk, has reinstated Tate. The Tates, who have dual US/British citizenship, were arrested in late 2022 in Romania and formally indicted last year on charges that they participated in a criminal ring that lured women to Romania where they were sexually exploited. Andrew Tate was also charged with rape and both he and his brother have denied all charges. Mysteriously, the two were released from detention in Romania and flown by private jet to America after the Romanian authorities last month [Feb 2025] unexpectedly lifted their travel restrictions. There have been whispers that the U.S. President was sympathetic to the brothers’ plight.

Eddie Miller acknowledging the awful truth.

Stephen Graham is already a highly acclaimed actor specialising in roles depicting gritty, working-class men. With Adolescence he delivers a magnetic performance as Eddie Miller, the father of 13-year-old Jamie, accused of murdering a fellow pupil. He manages to capture the complexity of a bewildered family man completely out of his depth but who firmly believes in his son’s innocence and stands by Jamie as he is questioned repeatedly by the police. Graham’s face as he eventually hears his son confess his guilt after long denial, is eloquent and touching. As a first time TV script writer, Graham says that his deeper interest was sparked when he heard the shocking news that Brianna Ghey, a 16 year old transgender woman, had been lured to a Warrington park on February 11, 2023, by two friends who had planned their lethal assault on her; she was repeatedly stabbed to death. There were other random stabbing incidents involving teenagers which shocked Graham into asking himself what was happening to young men in society. He and co-writer Jack Thorne could see the immense harm in the development of the incel culture through peers, the Internet and social media, on today's young men and this hard-hitting series is the result. Hard to watch: impossible to forget.

  

Post Script                               

 Adolescence also introduces adults to the covert, sometimes sinister, meanings attributed by young people to emojis of which most parents are oblivious. It is a world of unexpected meanings explained to D.C. Luke Bascombe by his young son in the drama and reveals how to decode symbols, colours, shapes which are crucial in this new tech language. For example, different coloured hearts can have very different meanings. Red symbolises love; purple means horny; yellow means, 'I am interested; are you?';

pink means 'I am interested but not in sex'. The red pill self-identifies an incel who believes he cannot form normal romantic or social relationships with women.

Red pill

Much needed advice.

  means 'I'm interested, but not in sex' and orange means 'you're going to be fine'.

The Advance of J.D. Vance

 

J.D.Vance

Rust Belt America

James David Vance [August 2, 1984] has had an extraordinary journey in life before becoming the fiftieth Vice President of the U.S.A. The early years were spent as part of the white working class in southern Ohio; born to a mother who struggled for years with alcohol and drug abuse, was neglectful of her children and at times terrifyingly threatening to them. Her parents, most especially her mother, Mamaw, from Appalachia, were the people who really brought up Vance, instilling in him the right values and it is to Mamaw to whom he pays special tribute for providing him with the stability he needed at home and for her constant encouragement for him to work to rise above difficult circumstances. However, his grandparents’ lives were not without incident! His grandfather, Papaw, was an alcoholic who came home drunk after being warned off the booze by his wife and she set fire to him. Clearly, Mamaw was the rock of the family and most certainly the mainstay of Vance’s upbringing and he gives many tributes for the values she passed on to him, and indeed, for all she did to set him off on his life’s journey.

In his 2016 best-selling memoir Hillbilly Elegy: A Memoir of a Family and Culture in Crisis, he describes his growing up in Middleton, Ohio and the summers he spent with the wider family in Jackson, Kentucky. In his book, Vance paints a bleak picture of life in such communities as his, describing an environment in which poverty was the norm, a ‘family tradition’ for many people. He relates that substance abuse and domestic violence were commonplace and hopes for a better economic future, rare. People simply did not expect to move on or up. But Vance also brings his conservative political sensibilities to the discussion. He does not shrink from pointing out that some of those originally around him are still living lives of quiet desperation but without doing anything themselves to improve their plight. And he remembers his frustration as a teenager, when working a summer job in a grocery shop, seeing impoverished neighbours always on their cell phones while he could not afford one.

A youthful J.D.Vance in the Marines

 After graduating from Middleton High School, Vance followed a well-trodden escape path from deprivation into the army. During his formative years in the U.S. Marine Corps, he was deployed to Iraq and no doubt during these four years, he further witnessed the enduring value of higher education. He moved on from the Marines to attend Ohio State University receiving a bachelor’s degree in political science and philosophy in 2009 and then went on to study Law at Yale which equipped him to gain a post in the multinational law firm, Sidley Austin LLP after which he gained experience in several Californian investment firms.

His excellent Hillbilly Elegy was published during the 2016 Presidential cycle when Hilary Clinton was pitted against Trump. The strange appeal of the millionaire Donald Trump to poor working-class whites living in the outback, proved to be a key factor in Trump’s success and many people contended that the poverty and discontent described in Vance’s book, explained why working- class white men supported a political

Fervent white working class support for Trump.
Can Vance really be comfortable with this quasi-religious 
enthusiasm?

outsider like ‘the Donald’. An interview with Vance by Rod Dreher of The American Conservative, publicised soon after the publication of Hillbilly Elegy, crashed the magazine’s website and Dreher opined that Trump’s success could only be understood by reading J.D. Vance. Others denounced the book claiming it perpetuated stereotypes of the Appalachian poor and questioned to what extent his family’s experiences applied to others.

Nonetheless, Vance’s book became a bestseller and prompted him to move back to Ohio from California. In 2021, the Ohio Republican senator, Rob Portman, announced he would not seek re-election in 2022, and after having declined several invitations to run for the Senate,  Vance decided to enter the race to replace him. During the 2016 Presidential election, Vance had voiced strong criticism of Trump, expressing fears that Trump was 'leading the white working class to a 

Trump and Vance rallying the troops

very dark place.”  But soon after entering the Senate race himself in 2021, he apologised publicly for his earlier criticism of Trump and made his sudden conversion to Trumpism a central tenet to his campaign while aligning himself publicly with the M.A.G.A. movement. [Trump remained highly popular in Ohio despite his having lost the Presidential election] Vance also repeated Trump’s claims, which he knew to be false, that there had been widespread voter fraud in 2016 when Biden won, a sure way to win Trump’s heart and importantly, those of his M.A.G.A. supporters!

One may assume this fundamental switch in political loyalty had more to do with Vance getting himself elected than in any genuine re-consideration of where his loyalties and opinions lay. Sadly, it worked! Buoyed by an endorsement from Trump, Vance was placed first in the Republican primary in May 2022 and in the November general election, he defeated the Democratic U.S. Rep, Tim Ryan, and was sworn in in January 2023. He was not yet 40. His writings testify to his acknowledgement of how fortunate he has been. “The statistics tell you that kids like me face a grim future; if they’re lucky, they’ll manage to avoid welfare; and if they’re unlucky, they’ll die of a heroin overdose.”

In his first Senatorial year, Vance amplified MAGA talking points on social media and podcasts hosted by right wing commentators but also co-sponsored bipartisan bills in Congress on issues such as CEO accountability for failed banks and publicly sparred with high-level Republicans like Mitt Romney and Mitch McConnell over U.S. aid to Ukraine which he supported. He is not an average Republican by any means and he has made it big!! He can be both admired for his tremendous life journey and criticised for his unashamed moral dishonesty and perhaps exploitative, self-seeking behaviour. I found the following quote by Vance about why he wrote Hillbilly Elegy [published when he was 31] in which we can see both a touching honesty and genuine self-knowledge:

“I want people to know what it feels like to nearly give up on yourself and why you might do it. I want people to understand what happens in the life of the poor and the psychological impact that spiritual and material poverty has on their children. I want people to understand the American Dream as my family encountered it. I want people to understand how upward mobility really feels. And I want people to understand something I learned only recently: that for those of us lucky enough to live the American Dream, the demons of the life we left behind continue to chase us.”                                   

The Ambush which distressed so many observers

Elon Musk

In the present administration, the conservative side of J.D. Vance seems a more genuine quality than just mere expediency.  He has given backing to his boss's plans to reshape and scale back government and questioned the authority of US judges to stand in the way. But he seems often to have been overshadowed by Trump's cost-cutting tsar, Elon Musk, in his highly-publicised wrecking of multiple government departments. But in the area of foreign policy, Vance's first trip to Europe saw him berating U.S. allies at the Munich Security Conference, accusing European leaders of censoring free speech, taking in too many immigrants and undermining democracy; indeed, governing in anti-democratic ways. Then in late February came a televised meeting which began with Vance praising Trump's diplomacy and slamming the Biden administration, followed by the disastrous  argument with Zelensky and Trump in the Oval Office with Vance acting as Trump's attack dog in what appeared to be a pre-planned ambush of the Ukrainian leader. The distaste following that has been universal and the support of U.S. voters for both Vance and Trump has begun to reduce.

 .

In his Hillbilly Elegy, Vance described
how his mother trapped him in a car; drove
recklessly and told him they were going to die;
made him pee into a jar so she could use his clean
urine to pass a drug test; disappeared for sudden
unpredictable intervals; spent other people's money dishonestly;
 slit her wrists; crashed her minivan
into a telephone pole.

eee

J.D Vance and his mother in earlier years

 

 

Alliances Do Not Last Forever

 

Although one might have been critical of America from time to time, succumbing to the usual British semi-sneer about the frequent vulgarity of public life in America and the inexplicable way its population embraces much of the extraordinarily dumb pronouncements and behaviour of its decision-makers,  STILL, America was always there; big; wealthy, taking the lead in world affairs and speaking its own version of easily understood English [so comforting to the linguistically lazy Brits]; different from us but sort of descended from us and with many ways and customs comfortingly familiar to us. It did not occur to me not to send my eldest, when she was just 12 to stay with American friends in a swap with their daughter of similar age. Now I would hesitate.  

 

Trump wins a second term; a stunning victory

When the last political decision anyone here wanted, was made and Trump managed to be voted in for a second term as President, disbelief was high. Although it was not the huge majority consistently claimed by the President’s men, he won, in part thanks to the over-large ego of Joe Biden who clung on too long to his intention to run again despite the real handicap of his obvious ageing.  But Trump won and we feared the worst. But the imagined worst was nowhere bad enough! Trump’s frantic avalanche of legislation and sweeping anti-Constitutional decisions made since, his election a few months ago have frightened and outraged many Americans and appalled much of the Western world. He is deliberately targeting agencies and individuals that might constrain the freedom of action of this administration. Universities, think tanks, the media, regulators are all in his sights. Trump is fracturing the American system of checks and balances and it seems that no one dares stop him.

 .   

J.D.Vance in the centre, with an impressive life story
built on high intelligence, ruthlessness and audacity

He has two loyal  lieutenants; J.D. Vance [Vice-President] and Elon Musk, unelected but Trump-selected, as Chief Trouble-shooter and these two have leapt into action; Vance has directed clumsy ignorant insults masquerading as advice to Europe’s leaders, America's allies for 80 years, advising that the greatest threat to Western democracies comes from within its liberal democracies. All this plus his outrageous meddling in the recent German national elections when he openly supported the neo-Nazi AfD.
While Musk, Head of the Trump-appointed DOGE [Dept. of Government Efficiency] has recruited bright young

Elon Musk
A.I. entrepreneur and designer extraordinaire;
world's richest man.
Worryingly, now Vice-President of the U.S.A.

men to run around extracting nationally sensitive statistics on population and policy to use one knows not how, and generally degrading formerly trusted American national systems. Incomes to national bodies have been slashed, many thousands of workers in ‘industries’ such as the F.B.I. Education, Health, have been summarily sacked without any apparent understanding of the overall necessity or effects of these wide-ranging removals; all in the trumpeted drive to cut Government expenditure.  In
addition, Trump has been enraged apparently by D.E.I. initiatives which have been summarily cancelled; he has pardoned Jan 6 rioters [remember: protesting against the results of a perfectly legal Presidential election] including those who seriously injured policemen; and banned biological men from women’s sports. This welter of changes has amounted to what aide Bannon calls, ‘flooding the zone’. The idea is that, by promoting a dizzying array of initiatives and announcements, your opponents are wrong-footed, not knowing what to take seriously. It is interesting to note the terminology; not ‘fellow Americans’ but ‘opponents.’

Trump in full, misinformed flow

 In the meantime, Donald is trying to create a global trade war through widespread use of tariffs [tariffs being one of his ‘favourite’ words.] Outrage is only now starting in America as Trump’s approval ratings begin to plummet in what one hopes will be a landslide. One tariff example will suffice: Sterling Heights, outside of Detroit, is ‘an auto-industry-dominated city’ that could see massive numbers of jobs lost if the President makes good on his tariff threats to Canada and Mexico. There are no other local employment possibilities of scale available and most of the population is in some capacity, ‘in 

the auto industry’. This will be a disaster for ordinary workers and certainly, not a good look for Trump!

Negotiating to end the Russo-Ukrainian war

Meanwhile, Trump has followed up his suspected admiration for Putin with a reportedly productive conversation with Vladimir on February 12 resulting in the proclamation that negotiations to end the war in Ukraine would start ‘immediately’. Ukrainian membership of NATO was ruled out and Ukraine itself accused of starting the war while Zelinsky was labelled a dictator for avoiding national elections, [suspended because of the Russian invasion and continuing war]. Neither the Ukrainians nor Nato allies had been consulted prior to these decisions and were evidently not considered to be essential to subsequent
discussions. Eventually it was conceded that the Ukrainians should be present in discussions about their existential future, though Russia was 'not keen' on a European presence.

Self-explanatory graph

A recent YouGov poll showed that 73% of the British population overall sees Trump 'unfavourably'. They see him as a criminal, misogynist, egotist with a hugely inflated self-belief; someone who sees national and international life as a business in which he is engaged in a constant search to profit from losers. There is no special relationship with the Donald only a small opportunity for the other person to persuade him that another's suggestion might be in Trump’s own interest. Generally, in Trump-world, if one wins, the other loses. Zero sum game.

All of the above is actually an explanation of why the long, long alliance of the U.K. with the U.S.A. since WW2, beneficial to both, comfortable mostly, constant and reliably familiar, has changed. We can no longer think of America as a trusted friend; only an occasional co-conspirator and slightly dodgy 

An emaciated, already-imprisoned Alexei Navalny,
June 23rd 2023, being sentenced to life in a prison camp
 north of the Arctic Circle.
He died on February 16th 2024, murdered by Putin's men..
His crime had been to criticise and challenge Putin
and his huge popularity among the Russian people had
in effect, ensured his death.

neighbour which has unsavoury alliances and relationships with gangster states like Russia where opposing political contenders are pursued and murdered. Aka Alexei Navalny among many. But this changed relationship is not merely with the UK; it is almost universal. As the editorial board of the Financial Times noted on February 24th "in the past ten days, Trump has all but incinerated 80 years of postwar American leadership. Instead, it has become an unabashed predator, allied with Russia and other countries the U.S. formerly saw as adversaries."  As Friedrich Merz, the newly-elected Chancellor of Germany has opined, Musk's blatant  interference in German national elections and the description of his general behaviour, is "what Russia does" and he adds that there is an urgent need now for complete security independence from the U.S.

Macron's brave attempt to establish a good relationship 
with Trump while defending Europe and Ukraine.
Feb 23rd.2025

Post Script

Just a month into Trump's second presidency, the American delegation to the United Nations voted against a resolution condemning Russia for its aggression in Ukraine and calling for it to end its occupation. It voted with Russia, Israel, North Korea, Belarus and fourteen other Russia-friendly countries against the measure, which passed overwhelmingly; China and India abstained. It is worth noting that the statement 'nation must not invade nation', is one of the founding principles of the United Nations and one of its original signatories was America. That was when the U.S. displayed its character as global leader and one among many moments which defined the world's idea of America.

  

 Idealogical harmony shattered.

Stop Press

To add the absolute latest news just caught on CNN online. Donald Trump is offering a path to citizenshiip. In around two weeks' time, the U.S. will start selling 'gold cards' to wealthy foreigners, giving them the right to live and work in the U.S. in exchange for a $5million fee. That boy never disappoints!